Seasonality PLAT 15 years

calculation: arith
plot_real_quotes: False
pad: 120
calculation_segments: zigzag_rdp
use_calculation_segments: rdp
use_sg: False
history seasonal curves

window_years	season_year	plot_year	corr	hit_rate_returns	hit_rate_segments	avg_real	ratio_total	ratio_segments
15	2004	2005	0.362928	0.474104	0.428571	0.019832	1.76	1.91
15	2005	2006	0.465720	0.512000	0.571429	0.020952	1.63	1.71
15	2006	2007	0.778267	0.508000	0.571429	0.052144	2.40	2.75
15	2007	2008	-0.515103	0.545817	0.666667	-0.045405	-2.28	-2.08
15	2008	2009	0.166014	0.486056	0.555556	0.068864	4.75	5.87
15	2009	2010	0.146757	0.517928	0.571429	0.022910	0.97	1.01
15	2010	2011	-0.194955	0.470120	0.222222	-0.025516	-1.11	-1.34
15	2011	2012	-0.260721	0.488000	0.428571	0.011725	0.45	0.49
15	2012	2013	-0.469969	0.450199	0.111111	-0.013393	-0.66	-0.65
15	2013	2014	-0.051913	0.509960	0.444444	-0.017879	-0.83	-1.05
15	2014	2015	-0.005691	0.501992	0.428571	-0.037916	-1.81	-2.01
15	2015	2016	0.242321	0.460000	0.285714	0.004477	0.27	0.59
15	2016	2017	0.153186	0.472000	0.857143	-0.002287	-0.14	-0.27
15	2017	2018	0.198799	0.524000	0.428571	-0.023974	-1.88	-2.40
15	2018	2019	-0.449236	0.533865	0.857143	0.030183	5.36	6.10
15	2019	2020	-0.621459	0.468254	0.285714	0.007590	1.64	0.85
15	2020	2021	0.647319	0.517928	0.857143	-0.014338	-1.80	-3.67
15	2021	2022	0.165793	0.520000	0.714286	0.010990	3.51	-25.98
15	2022	2023	0.538114	0.514056	0.571429	-0.017818	-5.85	7.94
15	2023	2024	-0.367155	0.504000	0.285714	-0.009209	-1.73	-1.66
15	2024	2025	-0.861933	0.425703	0.222222	0.139060	-131.13	-50.80
15	2025	2026	0.176005	0.467742	0.666667	-0.024784	-1.08	-2.69

seasonal

compare

key_figures

Segmente

Plot

2004

2005

Corr: 0.3629

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4741

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0198

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.093	0.005	✔
H	02-16	02-25	-0.041	0.005	✘
L	02-25	05-27	0.060	0.004	✔
H	05-27	11-01	-0.044	0.073	✘
L	11-01	12-23	0.010	0.044	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.100	0.009	✔

2005

2006

Corr: 0.4657

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5120

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0210

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.082	0.031	✔
H	02-16	02-25	-0.038	0.028	✘
L	02-25	05-27	0.066	0.267	✔
H	05-27	11-01	-0.031	-0.189	✔
L	11-01	12-31	0.030	0.034	✔

2006

2007

Corr: 0.7783

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5080

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0521

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.096	0.067	✔
H	02-16	03-29	-0.018	0.030	✘
L	03-29	05-27	0.079	0.030	✔
H	05-27	11-01	-0.044	0.170	✘
L	11-01	11-12	0.046	-0.052	✘
H	11-12	12-23	-0.016	0.120	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.110	-0.005	✘

2007

2008

Corr: -0.5151

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5458

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: -0.0454

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.093	0.333	✔
H	02-16	03-29	-0.011	-0.091	✔
L	03-29	05-27	0.075	0.073	✔
H	05-27	11-01	-0.022	-0.849	✔
L	11-01	11-12	0.045	0.001	✔
H	11-12	12-23	-0.010	0.019	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.110	0.054	✔

2008

2009

Corr: 0.1660

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4861

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: 0.0689

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.126	0.121	✔
L	02-16	05-03	0.000	0.001	✔
L	05-03	05-27	0.055	0.015	✔
H	05-27	11-01	-0.106	0.202	✘
L	11-01	12-23	0.037	0.091	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.141	0.051	✔

2009

2010

Corr: 0.1468

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5179

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0229

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.144	0.010	✔
L	02-16	06-06	0.070	-0.018	✘
H	06-06	10-27	-0.102	0.106	✘
L	10-27	12-23	0.049	0.028	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.168	0.034	✔

2010

2011

Corr: -0.1950

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4701

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2222

Avg Real: -0.0255

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.156	0.035	✔
L	02-16	04-19	0.057	-0.035	✘
H	04-19	10-31	-0.074	-0.096	✔
L	10-31	12-23	0.044	-0.100	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.185	-0.016	✘

2011

2012

Corr: -0.2607

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4880

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0117

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.153	0.135	✔
L	02-16	04-19	0.070	-0.033	✘
H	04-19	09-22	-0.035	0.045	✘
H	09-22	10-04	-0.058	0.073	✘
L	10-04	12-23	0.035	-0.123	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.179	0.005	✔

2012

2013

Corr: -0.4700

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4502

Hit Rate Segments: 0.1111

Avg Real: -0.0134

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-16	0.166	0.075	✔
L	02-16	04-19	0.070	-0.170	✘
H	04-19	10-24	-0.108	0.015	✘
L	10-24	12-23	0.054	-0.078	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.222	0.029	✔

2013

2014

Corr: -0.0519

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5100

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4444

Avg Real: -0.0179

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-17	0.168	0.017	✔
L	02-17	04-19	0.032	-0.011	✘
H	04-19	10-24	-0.077	-0.109	✔
L	10-24	11-14	0.056	-0.021	✘
H	11-14	12-23	-0.011	-0.018	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.198	0.010	✔

2014

2015

Corr: -0.0057

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5020

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0379

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-17	0.174	-0.022	✘
L	02-17	05-21	0.034	-0.016	✘
H	05-21	09-01	-0.031	-0.126	✔
H	09-01	10-24	-0.076	-0.001	✔
L	10-24	12-23	0.038	-0.105	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.197	0.019	✔

2015

2016

Corr: 0.2423

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4600

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0045

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	01-19	0.105	-0.067	✘
L	01-19	04-19	0.083	0.213	✔
H	04-19	09-01	-0.062	0.035	✘
H	09-01	10-04	-0.083	-0.070	✔
L	10-04	12-22	0.023	-0.090	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.181	-0.003	✘

2016

2017

Corr: 0.1532

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4720

Hit Rate Segments: 0.8571

Avg Real: -0.0023

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.160	0.068	✔
L	02-14	04-19	0.045	-0.040	✘
H	04-19	06-28	-0.053	-0.046	✔
L	06-28	09-06	0.028	0.089	✔
H	09-06	10-04	-0.090	-0.097	✔
L	10-04	11-05	0.044	0.006	✔
H	11-05	12-23	-0.040	-0.019	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.175	0.006	✔

2017

2018

Corr: 0.1988

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5240

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0240

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.173	0.056	✔
L	02-14	04-19	0.026	-0.068	✘
H	04-19	09-06	-0.012	-0.150	✔
H	09-06	10-04	-0.104	0.033	✘
L	10-04	12-23	0.001	-0.037	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.187	0.010	✔

2018

2019

Corr: -0.4492

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5339

Hit Rate Segments: 0.8571

Avg Real: 0.0302

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.162	-0.011	✘
L	02-14	04-13	0.031	0.127	✔
H	04-13	09-06	-0.043	0.082	✘
H	09-06	10-04	-0.101	-0.092	✔
H	10-04	12-15	-0.014	0.065	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.171	0.042	✔

2019

2020

Corr: -0.6215

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4683

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0076

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-28	0.173	-0.117	✘
L	02-28	05-12	0.025	-0.112	✘
H	05-12	06-24	-0.065	0.047	✘
L	06-24	09-06	0.030	0.097	✔
H	09-06	10-04	-0.105	-0.020	✔
L	10-04	11-04	0.048	-0.028	✘
H	11-04	12-22	-0.054	0.136	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.174	0.065	✔

2020

2021

Corr: 0.6473

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5179

Hit Rate Segments: 0.8571

Avg Real: -0.0143

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.166	0.191	✔
H	02-19	03-19	-0.065	-0.072	✔
L	03-19	05-12	0.077	0.012	✔
H	05-12	12-22	-0.125	-0.229	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.175	-0.002	✘

2021

2022

Corr: 0.1658

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5200

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0110

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.187	0.118	✔
H	02-19	03-19	-0.075	-0.056	✔
L	03-19	04-29	0.058	-0.111	✘
H	04-29	12-22	-0.138	0.049	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.194	0.096	✔

2022

2023

Corr: 0.5381

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5141

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: -0.0178

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.207	-0.154	✘
H	02-19	03-19	-0.083	0.031	✘
L	03-19	06-06	0.031	0.040	✔
H	06-06	12-22	-0.139	-0.056	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.210	0.015	✔

2023

2024

Corr: -0.3672

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5040

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: -0.0092

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-22	0.145	-0.084	✘
H	02-22	03-18	-0.060	0.014	✘
L	03-18	06-06	0.027	0.103	✔
H	06-06	06-24	-0.068	-0.013	✔
L	06-24	09-04	0.058	-0.098	✘
H	09-04	12-22	-0.053	0.023	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.123	-0.055	✘

2024

2025

Corr: -0.8619

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4257

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2222

Avg Real: 0.1391

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	01-20	0.091	0.043	✔
H	01-20	03-19	-0.054	0.062	✘
L	03-19	04-29	0.058	-0.039	✘
H	04-29	06-27	-0.093	0.400	✘
H	06-27	12-22	-0.012	0.895	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.090	-0.106	✘

2025

2026

Corr: 0.1760

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4677

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: -0.0248

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.129	-0.034	✘
H	02-19	03-19	-0.066	-0.058	✔
L	03-19	04-29	0.049	0.018	✔