Seasonality SILVER 15 years

calculation: arith
plot_real_quotes: False
pad: 120
calculation_segments: zigzag_rdp
use_calculation_segments: rdp
use_sg: False
history seasonal curves

window_years	season_year	plot_year	corr	hit_rate_returns	hit_rate_segments	avg_real	ratio_total	ratio_segments
15	2004	2005	-0.200315	0.501992	0.571429	0.053654	9.20	7.16
15	2005	2006	0.444226	0.512000	0.714286	0.054429	4.06	3.89
15	2006	2007	0.510036	0.460000	0.571429	0.023601	1.07	0.98
15	2007	2008	-0.601210	0.466135	0.714286	-0.034635	-1.31	-1.26
15	2008	2009	0.168479	0.490040	0.285714	0.072358	3.14	3.36
15	2009	2010	0.649444	0.470120	0.571429	0.108855	3.83	3.47
15	2010	2011	-0.206402	0.521912	0.555556	-0.010256	-0.38	-0.36
15	2011	2012	0.123823	0.516000	0.444444	0.002066	0.09	0.07
15	2012	2013	-0.684368	0.486056	0.285714	-0.052539	-1.38	-1.33
15	2013	2014	-0.740785	0.470120	0.333333	-0.026389	-0.91	-1.26
15	2014	2015	-0.670846	0.521912	0.363636	-0.010004	-0.56	-0.55
15	2015	2016	0.168997	0.448000	0.666667	0.007325	0.70	0.38
15	2016	2017	-0.131285	0.444000	0.714286	0.004302	0.17	0.15
15	2017	2018	-0.746789	0.504000	0.285714	-0.015276	-0.39	-0.46
15	2018	2019	0.300244	0.462151	0.428571	0.021254	0.71	0.78
15	2019	2020	0.461376	0.535714	0.333333	0.046780	2.11	2.24
15	2020	2021	-0.667150	0.466135	0.571429	-0.018336	-0.62	-0.61
15	2021	2022	-0.462920	0.512000	0.571429	0.006715	0.33	0.40
15	2022	2023	-0.206488	0.489960	0.428571	0.010121	-0.07	0.63
15	2023	2024	0.577437	0.480000	0.333333	0.021826	1.47	1.26
15	2024	2025	0.592721	0.522088	0.571429	0.198652	12.94	14.46
15	2025	2026	-0.226887	0.451613	1.000000	0.005512	0.03	0.08

seasonal

compare

key_figures

Segmente

Plot

2004

2005

Corr: -0.2003

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5020

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0537

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-05	0.095	0.022	✔
H	02-05	02-25	-0.055	0.111	✘
L	02-25	04-04	0.051	-0.036	✘
H	04-04	09-13	-0.066	-0.009	✔
L	09-13	09-30	0.050	0.076	✔
H	09-30	11-02	-0.053	0.011	✘
L	11-02	12-31	0.115	0.201	✔

2005

2006

Corr: 0.4442

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5120

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0544

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.132	0.017	✔
H	02-14	02-25	-0.051	0.044	✘
L	02-25	04-02	0.053	0.202	✔
H	04-02	09-13	-0.056	-0.063	✔
L	09-13	09-30	0.058	0.027	✔
H	09-30	11-02	-0.043	0.116	✘
L	11-02	12-31	0.145	0.038	✔

2006

2007

Corr: 0.5100

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4600

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0236

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-04	0.151	0.069	✔
L	02-04	05-04	0.042	-0.003	✘
H	05-04	06-13	-0.072	-0.026	✔
L	06-13	08-02	0.060	-0.010	✘
H	08-02	11-02	-0.028	0.132	✘
L	11-02	12-31	0.176	0.013	✔

2007

2008

Corr: -0.6012

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4661

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: -0.0346

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-19	0.209	0.172	✔
H	04-19	06-13	-0.071	-0.057	✔
L	06-13	08-02	0.068	0.060	✔
H	08-02	09-15	-0.055	-0.381	✔
L	09-15	09-30	0.072	0.062	✔
H	09-30	11-02	-0.027	-0.145	✔
L	11-02	12-31	0.110	0.102	✔

2008

2009

Corr: 0.1685

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4900

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0724

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.183	0.067	✔
H	04-10	06-13	-0.095	0.180	✘
L	06-13	08-03	0.047	0.014	✔
H	08-03	09-16	-0.069	0.272	✘
L	09-16	09-29	0.086	-0.108	✘
H	09-29	10-19	-0.053	0.145	✘
L	10-19	12-02	0.040	0.123	✔
L	12-02	12-31	0.172	-0.206	✘

2009

2010

Corr: 0.6494

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4701

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.1089

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.142	-0.071	✘
L	02-19	05-05	0.018	0.066	✔
H	05-05	06-13	-0.071	0.043	✘
L	06-13	08-04	0.049	0.006	✔
H	08-04	09-16	-0.059	0.141	✘
L	09-16	09-29	0.076	0.064	✔
H	09-29	10-28	-0.039	0.120	✘
L	10-28	12-31	0.125	0.393	✔

2010

2011

Corr: -0.2064

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5219

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: -0.0103

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.226	0.061	✔
H	02-19	06-13	-0.051	0.053	✘
L	06-13	08-04	0.051	0.134	✔
H	08-04	09-14	-0.059	0.059	✘
L	09-14	09-29	0.085	-0.328	✘
H	09-29	10-28	-0.034	0.155	✘
L	10-28	12-31	0.173	-0.249	✘

2011

2012

Corr: 0.1238

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5160

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4444

Avg Real: 0.0021

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.276	0.074	✔
H	04-10	06-13	-0.072	-0.100	✔
L	06-13	08-03	0.074	-0.035	✘
H	08-03	08-17	-0.066	0.009	✘
L	08-17	10-24	0.027	0.122	✔
L	10-24	12-31	0.149	-0.046	✘

2012

2013

Corr: -0.6844

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4861

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: -0.0525

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.223	-0.108	✘
H	04-10	06-28	-0.088	-0.258	✔
L	06-28	08-03	0.081	0.009	✔
H	08-03	08-17	-0.070	0.113	✘
L	08-17	10-24	0.040	-0.015	✘
L	10-24	12-31	0.144	-0.105	✘

2013

2014

Corr: -0.7408

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4701

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: -0.0264

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.194	0.000	✘
H	04-10	06-27	-0.105	0.050	✘
L	06-27	09-21	0.115	-0.162	✘
H	09-21	10-19	-0.039	-0.023	✔
L	10-19	12-06	0.106	-0.056	✘
H	12-06	12-23	-0.039	-0.033	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.203	-0.000	✘

2014

2015

Corr: -0.6708

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5219

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3636

Avg Real: -0.0100

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.194	0.045	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.105	-0.043	✔
L	06-28	09-03	0.092	-0.062	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.048	0.030	✘
L	10-04	12-06	0.123	-0.067	✘
H	12-06	12-23	-0.046	0.005	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.197	-0.030	✘

2015

2016

Corr: 0.1690

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4480

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: 0.0073

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.202	0.108	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.104	0.134	✘
L	06-28	09-21	0.091	0.148	✔
H	09-21	10-04	-0.050	-0.146	✔
L	10-04	12-06	0.118	-0.077	✘
H	12-06	12-23	-0.047	-0.070	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.207	0.014	✔

2016

2017

Corr: -0.1313

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4440

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0043

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.233	0.101	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.091	-0.070	✔
L	06-28	07-13	0.069	-0.068	✘
L	07-13	09-21	0.040	0.079	✔
H	09-21	10-04	-0.065	-0.023	✔
L	10-04	12-06	0.113	-0.038	✘
H	12-06	12-23	-0.063	0.024	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.242	0.025	✔

2017

2018

Corr: -0.7468

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5040

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: -0.0153

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-11	0.252	-0.033	✘
H	04-11	06-27	-0.106	-0.034	✔
L	06-27	09-06	0.127	-0.112	✘
H	09-06	10-04	-0.072	0.026	✘
L	10-04	11-25	0.099	-0.019	✘
H	11-25	12-23	-0.054	0.022	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.266	0.044	✔

2018

2019

Corr: 0.3002

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4622

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0213

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-11	0.254	-0.036	✘
H	04-11	06-27	-0.108	0.019	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.094	0.256	✔
H	09-03	10-04	-0.069	-0.108	✔
L	10-04	12-04	0.091	-0.043	✘
H	12-04	12-23	-0.060	0.037	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.254	0.023	✔

2019

2020

Corr: 0.4614

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5357

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: 0.0468

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.182	0.024	✔
L	02-23	04-29	0.046	-0.187	✘
H	04-29	06-27	-0.088	0.137	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.118	0.487	✔
H	09-03	10-04	-0.079	-0.162	✔
L	10-04	12-23	0.034	0.065	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.222	0.046	✔

2020

2021

Corr: -0.6671

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4661

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: -0.0183

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.170	0.015	✔
H	02-23	06-27	-0.033	-0.057	✔
L	06-27	09-03	0.166	-0.052	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.101	-0.075	✔
L	10-04	12-23	0.026	0.008	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.210	0.014	✔

2021

2022

Corr: -0.4629

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5120

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0067

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.179	0.073	✔
H	02-23	06-27	-0.066	-0.148	✔
L	06-27	09-03	0.117	-0.136	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.084	0.134	✘
L	10-04	11-08	0.058	0.010	✔
H	11-08	12-15	-0.061	0.075	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.206	0.040	✔

2022

2023

Corr: -0.2065

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4900

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0101

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.174	-0.112	✘
H	02-23	07-07	-0.079	0.073	✘
L	07-07	09-03	0.113	0.046	✔
H	09-03	09-30	-0.082	-0.057	✔
L	09-30	12-22	0.002	0.129	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.197	-0.017	✘

2023

2024

Corr: 0.5774

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4800

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: 0.0218

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.133	-0.030	✘
H	02-23	07-07	-0.068	0.350	✘
L	07-07	09-03	0.156	-0.118	✘
H	09-03	09-30	-0.093	0.135	✘
L	09-30	12-15	0.018	-0.033	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.155	-0.069	✘

2024

2025

Corr: 0.5927

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5221

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.1987

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-14	0.123	0.094	✔
H	04-14	06-27	-0.071	0.125	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.127	0.176	✔
H	09-03	09-30	-0.081	0.185	✘
L	09-30	10-27	0.064	0.005	✔
H	10-27	12-19	-0.056	0.688	✘
L	12-19	12-31	0.116	0.117	✔

2025

2026

Corr: -0.2269

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4516

Hit Rate Segments: 1.0000

Avg Real: 0.0055

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-20	0.158	0.006	✔