Seasonality SILVER 20 years

calculation: arith
plot_real_quotes: False
pad: 120
calculation_segments: zigzag_rdp
use_calculation_segments: rdp
use_sg: False
history seasonal curves

window_years	season_year	plot_year	corr	hit_rate_returns	hit_rate_segments	avg_real	ratio_total	ratio_segments
20	2009	2010	0.444575	0.474104	0.428571	0.103718	5.39	5.62
20	2010	2011	-0.034133	0.541833	0.666667	-0.020584	-0.46	-0.84
20	2011	2012	-0.038108	0.528000	0.555556	0.002742	0.11	0.11
20	2012	2013	-0.732667	0.498008	0.285714	-0.052355	-1.52	-1.43
20	2013	2014	-0.690125	0.422311	0.285714	-0.030929	-1.15	-1.26
20	2014	2015	-0.534717	0.525896	0.428571	-0.018118	-0.69	-0.77
20	2015	2016	-0.148183	0.444000	0.555556	0.012242	0.99	0.83
20	2016	2017	0.034859	0.468000	0.428571	0.005936	0.24	0.24
20	2017	2018	-0.552315	0.524000	0.555556	-0.011041	-0.59	-0.63
20	2018	2019	0.364117	0.454183	0.666667	0.007542	0.86	0.37
20	2019	2020	0.505139	0.511905	0.428571	0.060527	2.53	2.61
20	2020	2021	-0.737313	0.450199	0.222222	-0.013886	-0.62	-0.62
20	2021	2022	-0.414816	0.508000	0.555556	0.007945	0.22	0.42
20	2022	2023	0.046714	0.538153	0.666667	0.002822	-0.04	0.13
20	2023	2024	0.637699	0.496000	0.285714	0.025129	1.11	0.88
20	2024	2025	0.736981	0.538153	0.714286	0.197547	6.65	7.34
20	2025	2026	-0.313864	0.532258	1.000000	0.005512	0.02	0.05

seasonal

compare

key_figures

Segmente

Plot

2009

2010

Corr: 0.4446

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4741

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.1037

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.159	-0.116	✘
L	02-14	08-03	0.015	0.127	✔
H	08-03	09-14	-0.065	0.112	✘
L	09-14	09-30	0.063	0.079	✔
H	09-30	11-02	-0.041	0.183	✘
L	11-02	12-31	0.103	0.340	✔

2010

2011

Corr: -0.0341

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5418

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: -0.0206

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.198	0.332	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.030	-0.205	✔
L	06-28	08-03	0.038	0.255	✔
H	08-03	09-14	-0.056	-0.034	✔
L	09-14	09-29	0.069	-0.328	✘
H	09-29	11-02	-0.026	0.118	✘
L	11-02	12-31	0.199	-0.213	✘

2011

2012

Corr: -0.0381

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5280

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: 0.0027

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	05-01	0.236	0.044	✔
H	05-01	06-13	-0.059	-0.070	✔
L	06-13	08-03	0.065	-0.035	✘
H	08-03	08-15	-0.055	0.001	✘
L	08-15	11-01	0.019	0.150	✔
L	11-01	12-31	0.120	-0.065	✘

2012

2013

Corr: -0.7327

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4980

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: -0.0524

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-19	0.240	-0.252	✘
H	04-19	06-28	-0.068	-0.115	✔
L	06-28	08-03	0.071	0.009	✔
H	08-03	08-15	-0.055	0.106	✘
L	08-15	09-29	0.064	-0.040	✘
H	09-29	10-24	-0.034	0.033	✘
L	10-24	12-31	0.133	-0.105	✘

2013

2014

Corr: -0.6901

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4223

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: -0.0309

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.121	0.073	✔
L	02-14	04-10	0.050	-0.073	✘
H	04-10	06-28	-0.100	0.050	✘
L	06-28	09-29	0.096	-0.175	✘
H	09-29	10-24	-0.032	-0.017	✔
L	10-24	12-23	0.051	-0.073	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.150	-0.000	✘

2014

2015

Corr: -0.5347

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5259

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0181

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.131	0.040	✔
L	02-19	04-10	0.033	0.004	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.094	-0.043	✔
L	06-28	08-03	0.054	-0.081	✘
H	08-03	10-19	-0.006	0.085	✘
L	10-19	12-22	0.054	-0.099	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.154	-0.027	✘

2015

2016

Corr: -0.1482

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4440

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: 0.0122

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	03-01	0.149	0.072	✔
L	03-01	04-10	0.011	0.036	✔
H	04-10	06-27	-0.097	0.131	✘
L	06-27	10-07	0.074	-0.015	✘
H	10-07	11-02	-0.027	0.067	✘
L	11-02	12-22	0.040	-0.192	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.171	0.011	✔

2016

2017

Corr: 0.0349

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4680

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0059

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.139	0.103	✔
L	02-14	04-10	0.031	-0.002	✘
H	04-10	06-27	-0.081	-0.077	✔
L	06-27	08-03	0.060	-0.003	✘
H	08-03	10-24	-0.014	0.020	✘
L	10-24	12-23	0.040	-0.036	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.162	0.025	✔

2017

2018

Corr: -0.5523

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5240

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: -0.0110

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.144	-0.019	✘
L	02-14	04-11	0.043	-0.014	✘
H	04-11	06-27	-0.085	-0.034	✔
L	06-27	08-03	0.063	-0.039	✘
H	08-03	08-17	-0.036	-0.036	✔
L	08-17	09-06	0.047	-0.037	✘
H	09-06	09-14	-0.037	-0.005	✔
L	09-14	09-21	0.039	0.012	✔
H	09-21	10-04	-0.038	0.018	✘
L	10-04	12-06	0.055	-0.005	✘
H	12-06	12-23	-0.032	0.007	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.168	0.044	✔

2018

2019

Corr: 0.3641

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4542

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: 0.0075

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-18	0.136	0.017	✔
L	02-18	04-11	0.042	-0.066	✘
H	04-11	06-27	-0.074	0.019	✘
L	06-27	08-03	0.060	0.062	✔
H	08-03	08-15	-0.038	0.056	✘
L	08-15	09-03	0.048	0.127	✔
H	09-03	12-23	-0.007	-0.114	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.168	0.023	✔

2019

2020

Corr: 0.5051

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5119

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0605

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-10	0.172	-0.143	✘
H	04-10	06-27	-0.074	0.130	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.091	0.487	✔
H	09-03	10-04	-0.053	-0.162	✔
L	10-04	12-04	0.074	-0.010	✘
H	12-04	12-23	-0.032	0.076	✘
L	12-23	12-31	0.159	0.046	✔

2020

2021

Corr: -0.7373

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4502

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2222

Avg Real: -0.0139

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	03-05	0.152	-0.074	✘
H	03-05	06-28	-0.039	0.033	✘
L	06-28	09-03	0.125	-0.052	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.061	-0.075	✔
L	10-04	12-22	0.049	0.004	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.176	0.018	✔

2021

2022

Corr: -0.4148

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5080

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5556

Avg Real: 0.0079

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-22	0.155	0.054	✔
H	02-22	06-28	-0.032	-0.142	✔
L	06-28	09-03	0.122	-0.123	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.076	0.134	✘
L	10-04	12-22	0.042	0.107	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.189	0.017	✔

2022

2023

Corr: 0.0467

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5382

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6667

Avg Real: 0.0028

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-23	0.169	-0.112	✘
H	02-23	06-28	-0.056	0.060	✘
L	06-28	09-03	0.116	0.060	✔
H	09-03	10-04	-0.062	-0.107	✔
L	10-04	11-08	0.070	0.065	✔
H	11-08	12-22	-0.023	0.068	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.206	-0.017	✘

2023

2024

Corr: 0.6377

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4960

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0251

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-11	0.191	0.204	✔
H	04-11	06-28	-0.083	0.028	✘
L	06-28	09-03	0.113	-0.046	✘
H	09-03	10-04	-0.073	0.175	✘
L	10-04	12-15	0.040	-0.073	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.190	-0.069	✘

2024

2025

Corr: 0.7370

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5382

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.1975

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-19	0.182	0.101	✔
H	04-19	06-27	-0.066	0.110	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.108	0.176	✔
H	09-03	10-02	-0.061	0.196	✘
L	10-02	12-22	0.041	0.746	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.165	0.053	✔

2025

2026

Corr: -0.3139

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5323

Hit Rate Segments: 1.0000

Avg Real: 0.0055

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-14	0.195	0.006	✔