Seasonality SILVER 30 years

calculation: arith
plot_real_quotes: False
pad: 120
calculation_segments: zigzag_rdp
use_calculation_segments: rdp
use_sg: False
history seasonal curves

window_years	season_year	plot_year	corr	hit_rate_returns	hit_rate_segments	avg_real	ratio_total	ratio_segments
30	2019	2020	0.287729	0.492063	0.142857	0.057942	3.74	3.62
30	2020	2021	-0.668271	0.418327	0.428571	-0.018047	-0.91	-0.82
30	2021	2022	-0.326118	0.480000	0.333333	0.005223	0.31	0.35
30	2022	2023	0.082531	0.481928	0.714286	0.002440	-0.06	0.11
30	2023	2024	0.554865	0.448000	0.142857	0.024585	1.46	1.21
30	2024	2025	0.786905	0.534137	0.428571	0.194210	8.38	9.81
30	2025	2026	-0.380968	0.552239	1.000000	0.008240	0.21	0.25

seasonal

compare

key_figures

Segmente

Plot

2019

2020

Corr: 0.2877

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4921

Hit Rate Segments: 0.1429

Avg Real: 0.0579

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.112	-0.018	✘
L	02-14	04-10	0.021	-0.124	✘
H	04-10	06-27	-0.052	0.130	✘
L	06-27	08-03	0.042	0.353	✔
H	08-03	12-22	-0.002	0.050	✘
L	12-22	12-31	0.126	0.069	✔

2020

2021

Corr: -0.6683

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4183

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0180

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.111	0.005	✔
L	02-14	04-10	0.019	-0.073	✘
H	04-10	06-27	-0.041	0.045	✘
L	06-27	09-03	0.071	-0.052	✘
H	09-03	12-22	-0.006	-0.070	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.129	0.018	✔

2021

2022

Corr: -0.3261

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4800

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: 0.0052

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.122	0.042	✔
L	02-14	05-25	0.011	-0.081	✘
H	05-25	06-28	-0.042	-0.049	✔
L	06-28	09-03	0.074	-0.123	✘
H	09-03	12-15	-0.017	0.219	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.145	0.040	✔

2022

2023

Corr: 0.0825

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4819

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0024

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.122	-0.089	✘
H	02-14	03-20	-0.023	0.028	✘
L	03-20	04-19	0.041	0.114	✔
H	04-19	06-28	-0.055	-0.106	✔
L	06-28	08-03	0.060	0.035	✔
H	08-03	11-29	-0.003	0.061	✘
L	11-29	12-31	0.158	-0.052	✘

2023

2024

Corr: 0.5549

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4480

Hit Rate Segments: 0.1429

Avg Real: 0.0246

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.119	-0.054	✘
H	02-14	03-20	-0.020	0.141	✘
L	03-20	04-10	0.043	0.093	✔
H	04-10	06-28	-0.064	0.052	✘
L	06-28	09-03	0.074	-0.046	✘
H	09-03	12-15	-0.006	0.102	✘
L	12-15	12-31	0.137	-0.069	✘

2024

2025

Corr: 0.7869

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5341

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.1942

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.117	0.107	✔
H	02-19	03-22	-0.023	0.011	✘
L	03-22	04-11	0.052	-0.026	✘
H	04-11	06-28	-0.063	0.126	✘
L	06-28	09-03	0.072	0.172	✔
L	09-03	12-15	0.007	0.774	✔
L	12-15	12-31	0.136	0.222	✔

2025

2026

Corr: -0.3810

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5522

Hit Rate Segments: 1.0000

Avg Real: 0.0082

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-19	0.130	0.069	✔
L	02-19	04-19	0.021	-0.023	✘