Seasonality SILVER 5 years

calculation: arith
plot_real_quotes: False
pad: 120
calculation_segments: zigzag_rdp
use_calculation_segments: rdp
use_sg: False
history seasonal curves

window_years	season_year	plot_year	corr	hit_rate_returns	hit_rate_segments	avg_real	ratio_total	ratio_segments
5	1994	1995	0.193114	0.470120	0.571429	0.012960	-6.75	-2.64
5	1995	1996	-0.603743	0.452381	0.636364	-0.010215	-0.93	-0.90
5	1996	1997	-0.421441	0.480159	0.428571	0.040946	2.91	3.96
5	1997	1998	-0.699192	0.474104	0.333333	-0.006152	-0.77	-0.24
5	1998	1999	0.162070	0.442231	0.714286	0.017966	3.00	3.94
5	1999	2000	0.366410	0.464000	0.571429	-0.020332	-2.41	-1.46
5	2000	2001	0.559311	0.473684	1.000000	0.001566	-0.40	-0.34
5	2001	2002	-0.360580	0.466135	0.333333	0.004619	3.39	2.05
5	2002	2003	-0.475586	0.454183	0.571429	0.037798	-31.32	-7.29
5	2003	2004	-0.269472	0.418327	0.142857	0.018456	1.56	1.37
5	2004	2005	0.416064	0.525896	0.571429	0.052992	5.42	6.46
5	2005	2006	0.349001	0.452000	0.428571	0.049750	1.67	1.51
5	2006	2007	0.534037	0.452000	0.714286	0.023258	0.41	0.38
5	2007	2008	-0.756670	0.494024	0.571429	-0.040267	-0.54	-0.58
5	2008	2009	0.061310	0.498008	0.428571	0.066535	1.56	1.45
5	2009	2010	0.657440	0.501992	0.428571	0.112198	1.46	1.49
5	2010	2011	0.055980	0.525896	0.444444	-0.006161	-0.16	-0.11
5	2011	2012	-0.174732	0.464000	0.428571	0.004926	0.07	0.11
5	2012	2013	-0.680457	0.498008	0.142857	-0.051571	-0.91	-0.88
5	2013	2014	-0.772305	0.458167	0.428571	-0.031000	-0.74	-0.80
5	2014	2015	-0.158916	0.501992	0.714286	-0.017165	-2.67	713.77
5	2015	2016	-0.224490	0.468000	0.833333	0.030072	-1.24	-1.25
5	2016	2017	0.603942	0.484000	0.714286	0.010062	-0.64	-1.92
5	2017	2018	0.606676	0.560000	0.428571	-0.013199	0.68	0.64
5	2018	2019	-0.562031	0.482072	0.714286	0.021346	-4.95	-3.46
5	2019	2020	0.335859	0.472222	0.444444	0.057679	5.25	5.49
5	2020	2021	-0.695767	0.494024	0.857143	-0.024114	-0.54	-0.64
5	2021	2022	-0.640525	0.544000	0.285714	0.005364	0.36	0.37
5	2022	2023	-0.177892	0.542169	0.444444	-0.000709	-0.08	-0.07
5	2023	2024	0.424104	0.520000	0.285714	0.030944	1.40	1.31
5	2024	2025	0.776185	0.554217	0.333333	0.149316	7.71	7.76
5	2025	2026	-0.620642	0.483871	0.000000	-0.029174	0.01	-0.89

seasonal

compare

key_figures

Segmente

Plot

1994

1995

Corr: 0.1931

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4701

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0130

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	01-16	0.070	0.017	✔
H	01-16	02-24	-0.081	-0.040	✔
L	02-24	04-03	0.089	0.139	✔
H	04-03	04-25	-0.053	0.089	✘
L	04-25	05-23	0.113	-0.063	✘
H	05-23	06-27	-0.046	-0.017	✔
L	06-27	07-06	0.057	-0.046	✘
H	07-06	10-15	-0.156	0.057	✘
L	10-15	12-31	0.063	-0.034	✘

1995

1996

Corr: -0.6037

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4524

Hit Rate Segments: 0.6364

Avg Real: -0.0102

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	01-16	0.024	0.024	✔
H	01-16	02-27	-0.080	0.000	✘
L	02-27	05-06	0.223	-0.002	✘
L	05-06	07-17	0.030	-0.094	✘
H	07-17	09-13	-0.120	0.013	✘
L	09-13	12-31	0.007	-0.049	✘

1996

1997

Corr: -0.4214

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4802

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0409

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-06	0.115	0.028	✔
H	02-06	03-04	-0.072	0.081	✘
L	03-04	04-01	0.117	-0.047	✘
H	04-01	04-16	-0.050	-0.045	✔
L	04-16	05-06	0.126	-0.015	✘
H	05-06	12-02	-0.147	0.130	✘
L	12-02	12-31	0.124	0.140	✔

1997

1998

Corr: -0.6992

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4741

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: -0.0062

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.149	0.196	✔
H	02-14	03-05	-0.069	-0.072	✔
L	03-05	05-23	0.172	-0.185	✘
H	05-23	08-06	-0.099	0.057	✘
L	08-06	08-22	0.088	-0.042	✘
H	08-22	12-02	-0.052	-0.072	✔
L	12-02	12-28	0.128	0.037	✔
H	12-28	12-31	-0.032	0.017	✘

1998

1999

Corr: 0.1621

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4422

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0180

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	03-31	0.208	0.006	✔
H	03-31	07-16	-0.187	0.022	✘
L	07-16	09-30	0.102	0.101	✔
H	09-30	12-02	-0.093	-0.099	✔
L	12-02	12-31	0.080	0.065	✔

1999

2000

Corr: 0.3664

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4640

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: -0.0203

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.215	-0.024	✘
H	02-14	03-06	-0.122	-0.028	✔
L	03-06	05-04	0.089	0.006	✔
H	05-04	07-19	-0.166	-0.024	✔
L	07-19	12-02	0.039	-0.060	✘
L	12-02	12-31	0.228	-0.022	✘

2000

2001

Corr: 0.5593

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4737

Hit Rate Segments: 1.0000

Avg Real: 0.0016

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	01-12	0.042	0.013	✔
L	01-12	01-31	0.070	0.035	✔
L	01-31	02-05	0.102	-0.022	✘
H	02-05	05-28	-0.246	-0.029	✔
H	05-28	12-02	-0.003	-0.079	✔
L	12-02	12-31	0.068	0.083	✔

2001

2002

Corr: -0.3606

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4661

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: 0.0046

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-05	0.224	-0.037	✘
H	02-05	05-31	-0.216	0.131	✘
H	05-31	09-16	-0.015	-0.098	✔
L	09-16	10-04	0.110	-0.015	✘
H	10-04	12-02	-0.092	-0.011	✔
L	12-02	12-31	0.227	0.072	✔

2002

2003

Corr: -0.4756

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4542

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0378

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-05	0.190	-0.015	✘
H	02-05	03-17	-0.151	-0.058	✔
H	03-17	08-30	-0.044	0.133	✘
L	08-30	09-28	0.107	0.027	✔
H	09-28	12-02	-0.108	0.090	✘
L	12-02	12-31	0.188	0.094	✔

2003

2004

Corr: -0.2695

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4183

Hit Rate Segments: 0.1429

Avg Real: 0.0185

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-04	0.154	0.029	✔
H	02-04	03-30	-0.108	0.270	✘
L	03-30	09-28	0.109	-0.195	✘
H	09-28	11-21	-0.076	0.164	✘
L	11-21	12-31	0.168	-0.124	✘

2004

2005

Corr: 0.4161

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5259

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: 0.0530

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-06	0.151	0.094	✔
H	04-06	05-07	-0.135	-0.026	✔
L	05-07	07-14	0.081	-0.015	✘
H	07-14	09-08	-0.058	0.003	✘
L	09-08	09-30	0.070	0.073	✔
H	09-30	11-02	-0.036	0.011	✘
L	11-02	12-06	0.084	0.182	✔
H	12-06	12-10	-0.056	0.045	✘
L	12-10	12-31	0.086	0.005	✔

2005

2006

Corr: 0.3490

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4520

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0498

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	03-09	0.258	0.082	✔
L	03-09	04-11	0.016	0.277	✔
H	04-11	04-29	-0.131	0.133	✘
L	04-29	09-08	0.041	-0.197	✘
L	09-08	12-20	0.167	0.037	✔
L	12-20	12-31	0.124	0.047	✔

2006

2007

Corr: 0.5340

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4520

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0233

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-07	0.160	0.086	✔
L	02-07	04-10	0.246	0.019	✔
H	04-10	06-14	-0.187	-0.058	✔
L	06-14	08-07	0.153	-0.005	✘
H	08-07	09-14	-0.083	-0.043	✔
L	09-14	12-07	0.323	0.145	✔
H	12-07	12-31	-0.017	0.034	✘

2007

2008

Corr: -0.7567

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4940

Hit Rate Segments: 0.5714

Avg Real: -0.0403

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-19	0.449	0.172	✔
H	04-19	06-14	-0.203	-0.057	✔
L	06-14	08-03	0.160	0.022	✔
H	08-03	09-14	-0.070	-0.398	✔
L	09-14	12-04	0.356	-0.106	✘
H	12-04	12-16	-0.106	0.113	✘
L	12-16	12-31	0.107	0.008	✔

2008

2009

Corr: 0.0613

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4980

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0665

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-19	0.441	0.027	✔
H	04-19	04-24	-0.145	0.069	✘
H	04-24	06-14	-0.120	0.169	✘
L	06-14	08-03	0.150	0.014	✔
H	08-03	09-16	-0.242	0.272	✘
L	09-16	12-31	0.361	-0.045	✘

2009

2010

Corr: 0.6574

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5020

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.1122

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-22	0.330	-0.075	✘
L	02-22	06-02	0.151	0.119	✔
H	06-02	09-14	-0.199	0.115	✘
L	09-14	09-22	0.158	0.046	✔
L	09-22	12-23	0.054	0.467	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.503	0.090	✔

2010

2011

Corr: 0.0560

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5259

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4444

Avg Real: -0.0062

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	05-12	0.479	0.129	✔
H	05-12	06-13	-0.171	0.003	✘
L	06-13	08-04	0.121	0.134	✔
H	08-04	08-17	-0.168	0.045	✘
L	08-17	10-28	0.103	-0.158	✘
L	10-28	11-24	0.253	-0.118	✘
H	11-24	12-23	-0.048	-0.062	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.619	-0.044	✘

2011

2012

Corr: -0.1747

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4640

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: 0.0049

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-23	0.365	0.040	✔
H	04-23	05-05	-0.132	-0.015	✔
L	05-05	08-03	0.158	-0.076	✘
H	08-03	08-17	-0.179	0.009	✘
L	08-17	09-21	0.141	0.218	✔
H	09-21	10-24	-0.125	-0.096	✔
L	10-24	11-08	0.150	0.022	✔
L	11-08	12-31	0.033	-0.068	✘

2012

2013

Corr: -0.6805

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4980

Hit Rate Segments: 0.1429

Avg Real: -0.0516

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	03-05	0.448	-0.075	✘
H	03-05	05-05	-0.139	-0.148	✔
L	05-05	08-03	0.135	-0.132	✘
H	08-03	08-17	-0.138	0.113	✘
L	08-17	09-20	0.186	-0.043	✘
H	09-20	10-02	-0.150	-0.003	✔
L	10-02	11-24	0.170	-0.060	✘
H	11-24	12-23	-0.119	-0.028	✔
L	12-23	12-31	0.317	-0.001	✘

2013

2014

Corr: -0.7723

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4582

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0310

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-29	0.265	-0.027	✘
H	04-29	07-02	-0.226	0.081	✘
L	07-02	09-08	0.339	-0.105	✘
H	09-08	09-26	-0.125	-0.069	✔
L	09-26	12-01	0.181	-0.059	✘
H	12-01	12-30	-0.143	-0.008	✔
L	12-30	12-31	0.322	-0.030	✘

2014

2015

Corr: -0.1589

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5020

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: -0.0172

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-29	0.202	0.055	✔
H	04-29	05-05	-0.142	-0.004	✔
H	05-05	06-27	-0.070	-0.049	✔
L	06-27	09-08	0.209	-0.060	✘
H	09-08	09-30	-0.126	-0.019	✔
L	09-30	12-10	0.076	-0.025	✘
H	12-10	12-25	-0.104	0.014	✘
L	12-25	12-31	0.202	-0.006	✘

2015

2016

Corr: -0.2245

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4680

Hit Rate Segments: 0.8333

Avg Real: 0.0301

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	04-29	0.186	0.287	✔
H	04-29	05-11	-0.148	-0.031	✔
H	05-11	06-27	-0.072	0.023	✘
L	06-27	09-08	0.180	0.136	✔
H	09-08	10-01	-0.161	-0.032	✔
L	10-01	10-28	0.076	-0.072	✘
H	10-28	12-31	-0.182	-0.130	✔

2016

2017

Corr: 0.6039

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4840

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0101

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.196	0.103	✔
H	02-14	06-27	-0.182	-0.079	✔
L	06-27	07-03	0.074	-0.035	✘
H	07-03	08-05	-0.054	0.009	✘
L	08-05	09-08	0.127	0.104	✔
H	09-08	12-22	-0.226	-0.097	✔
L	12-22	12-31	0.183	0.037	✔

2017

2018

Corr: 0.6067

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5600

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4286

Avg Real: -0.0132

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-14	0.160	-0.019	✘
H	02-14	03-09	-0.098	-0.016	✔
H	03-09	06-07	-0.082	0.004	✘
H	06-07	08-05	-0.001	-0.075	✔
L	08-05	09-07	0.093	-0.067	✘
H	09-07	12-17	-0.215	0.033	✘
L	12-17	12-31	0.137	0.048	✔

2018

2019

Corr: -0.5620

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4821

Hit Rate Segments: 0.7143

Avg Real: 0.0213

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-15	0.185	0.017	✔
H	02-15	03-11	-0.079	-0.029	✔
L	03-11	07-12	0.069	-0.007	✘
H	07-12	11-30	-0.201	0.117	✘
L	11-30	12-31	0.091	0.057	✔

2019

2020

Corr: 0.3359

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4722

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4444

Avg Real: 0.0577

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-15	0.183	-0.018	✘
H	02-15	07-07	-0.053	0.004	✘
L	07-07	08-26	0.021	0.513	✔
L	08-26	09-03	0.089	-0.050	✘
H	09-03	12-15	-0.155	-0.119	✔
L	12-15	12-31	0.199	0.104	✔

2020

2021

Corr: -0.6958

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4940

Hit Rate Segments: 0.8571

Avg Real: -0.0241

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-24	0.179	0.028	✔
H	02-24	03-19	-0.134	-0.064	✔
L	03-19	07-07	0.153	-0.005	✘
L	07-07	08-10	0.249	-0.103	✘
H	08-10	11-30	-0.200	-0.019	✔
L	11-30	12-31	0.228	0.017	✔

2021

2022

Corr: -0.6405

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5440

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0054

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-01	0.182	-0.010	✘
H	02-01	03-19	-0.166	0.101	✘
L	03-19	07-07	0.079	-0.263	✘
L	07-07	08-10	0.181	0.060	✔
H	08-10	12-09	-0.153	0.127	✘
L	12-09	12-31	0.207	0.022	✔

2022

2023

Corr: -0.1779

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5422

Hit Rate Segments: 0.4444

Avg Real: -0.0007

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-24	0.149	-0.134	✘
H	02-24	03-19	-0.132	0.076	✘
L	03-19	07-14	0.027	0.101	✔
L	07-14	08-08	0.165	-0.091	✘
H	08-08	09-27	-0.146	-0.010	✔
L	09-27	12-31	0.199	0.052	✔

2023

2024

Corr: 0.4241

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5200

Hit Rate Segments: 0.2857

Avg Real: 0.0309

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-01	0.174	-0.021	✘
H	02-01	03-19	-0.134	0.073	✘
L	03-19	07-06	0.043	0.268	✔
L	07-06	08-06	0.162	-0.170	✘
H	08-06	09-30	-0.110	0.187	✘
L	09-30	12-31	0.201	-0.100	✘

2024

2025

Corr: 0.7762

Hit Rate Returns: 0.5542

Hit Rate Segments: 0.3333

Avg Real: 0.1493

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
L	01-01	02-01	0.067	0.059	✔
H	02-01	03-19	-0.104	0.082	✘
L	03-19	05-29	0.200	-0.020	✘
H	05-29	07-01	-0.082	0.092	✘
L	07-01	08-06	0.117	0.061	✔
L	08-06	12-31	0.050	1.109	✔

2025

2026

Corr: -0.6206

Hit Rate Returns: 0.4839

Hit Rate Segments: 0.0000

Avg Real: -0.0292

Type	Start	End	Season	Real	OK
H	01-01	02-27	-0.066	0.292	✘
L	02-27	04-15	0.180	-0.286	✘